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Hazard Event Prediction

IB DP Geography
       
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Geography Starter

Starter

 

Write two sub-headings in your notes:

  1. Estimates [predictions] of the probability [in space and time] of an earthquake occurring in San Francisco.
  2. Estimates of the potential impact in lives and property of an earthquake hazard in San Francisco.

Watch the video clip below and add notes below your sub-headings.

 
 
How are these predictions made?
 
San Francisco Bay Region Earthquake Probability
 
Geography Activities

Activity

 
You must be able to discuss the methods used to make predictions on the probability and potential impacts of two different hazard types by examining case studies.
 

Earthquakes

Hurricanes

Earthquakes
Hurricanes
Flickr
Flickr

Task One

Produce detailed notes on two methods used to predict earthquakes. Produce detailed notes on two methods used to predict hurricanes.

Task Two

LEDC Case Study: Your Decision

Had the earthquake been predicted? What degree of prediction had been given? What actions [if any] had been taken due to the predictions?

LEDC Case Study: Cyclone Nargis

Had the hurricane been predicted? What degree of prediction had been given? What actions [if any] had been taken due to the predictions?

Task Three

MEDC Case Study: L'Aquila, Italy, 2009

Had the earthquake been predicted? What degree of prediction had been given? What actions [if any] had been taken due to the predictions?

MEDC Case Study: Hurricane Katrina 2005

Had the hurricane been predicted? What degree of prediction had been given? What actions [if any] had been taken due to the predictions?

Video Clips

Video Clips

Possible Resources

Diigo
Diigo
 
Geography Review
Homework

Review and Homework Task

 
Using an example(s) of a tectonic hazard and an example(s) of a hurricane examine the effectiveness of the methods used to predict these hazards. [10 Marks]
 

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